Shri P V Holay proposed 13 November 3143 BCE as the first day of Mahabharata War.
Let’s evaluate this proposal, per the method and steps described here:
(1) Per his proposal, let’s calculate the day Bhishma fell in the battle = 22 November 3143 BCE (10th day of the War)
He also states his proposed day of Bhishma Nirvana = 18 January 3142 BCE
(2) This step is not required as Shri Holay has proposed the day of Bhishma Nirvana
(3) Problem for this proposal begins right away! The day of winter solstice was 14 January 3142 BCE (for Holay’s proposed year of Mahabharata war) whereas his day of Bhishma Nirvana is removed by 4 days, i.e. on 18 January 3142 BCE.
What could be motivation of Shri Holay to keep Bhishma waiting for 4 more days beyond the day of winter solstice?
(4) Per proposal of Holay, Bhishma was on the bed of arrows for ~58 days (22 November 3143 BCE – 18 January 3143 BCE).
(5) Please refer to specific names and descriptions of Mahabharata text observations here.
Mahabharata references 1, 16, 17 and 18 corrborate proposal of Holay (one must be willing to make assumption of Adhika masa in order to corrborate reference 18).
Mahabharata references 2,3, 4 do not conflict/contradict proposal of Holay. I had to invent this new category to deal with criticism for claims by Mahabharata researchers when they did not take into account specific and relevant obserations of Mahabharata text, which they (these researchers) should have taken into account.
(6) Mahabharata references 5 through 15 (11 of them) conflict/contradict this claimed timeline by Holay.
(7) Versimilitude score (Holay) = 4 (corrborated) – 11 (conflicted/contradicted) = -7
(8) Mahabharata references 6, 13, 14 and 15 (related to Bhishma Nirvana) FALSIFY proposal of Holay.
(9) AV observation (chapter 6), numerous planetary observations (chapter 7), observations of phases and positions of the moon through 18 days of the War (chapter 8), all of them FALSIFY proposal of Holay.
Chapter references refer to chapters in my book: When did the Mahabharata War Happen?: The Mystery of Arundhati.